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https://warontherocks.com/2022/09/escalation-management-and-nuclear-employment-in-russian-military-strategy-2/

분석가 마이클 코프만과 아냐 루키아노바핑크의 코멘터리, 20년에 작성된 문서지만 최근 수정을 거쳐 19일에 재배포


요약: 러시아가 핵투발을 할 지, 안 할지는 미지수이지만 확실하게 러시아는 미국처럼 핵투발을 배제하는 전략이 아니라 유사시 ​ 적극적으로 투발하게끔 하는​ 교리를 채택하고 있으며, 핵전력 또한 꾸준히 확충하고 있었다. 군조직상으로도 미군과 달리 유연하지 못한 러시아군은 핵전력 활용을 배제하는 것이 불가능하다.

러시아군의 기본 전략은 공포를 통한 분쟁 억제와 재래식 비핵무기 활용을 통한 제한적 무력 투사를 골자로 하나, 필요하다면 실증 의미의 핵병기 사용 역시 고려할 것이다.

러시아군 교리에 있어 비핵무기와 핵무기는 상호 억지력에서 대체되는 관계가 아니라 상호 보완적인 관계이다.




ISW 치킨집이 훈수두는 족족 청개구리처럼 지랄하는 판에 저 새끼들이 진짜 제한적 전술핵 투발할 가능성도 열려는 있다, 이렇게 봐주면 좋을듯



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